導(dao)語：數字經(jing)濟規模測算及空(kong)間(jian)分(fen)異研究一(yi)文來(lai)源于網友上傳，不代表本站觀點，若需要原創文章可咨詢客(ke)服老師，歡迎參考(kao)。

摘要：文章在測算2006—2019年中國30個省份數字經濟四個核心產業大類的增加值的基礎上，運用Da?gum基尼系數及其分解方法、空間條件Kernel密度估計方法考察中國省域數字經濟規模的區(qu)(qu)域(yu)差異(yi)及(ji)空(kong)間分(fen)布動(dong)態。研究發現(xian)(xian)：中國省(sheng)域(yu)數(shu)(shu)字(zi)經濟(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)模保持快(kuai)速增長，省(sheng)域(yu)數(shu)(shu)字(zi)經濟(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)模年均(jun)值為(wei)1165.07億元，對經濟(ji)(ji)(ji)增長的貢獻率為(wei)4.79%。中國省(sheng)域(yu)數(shu)(shu)字(zi)經濟(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)模區(qu)(qu)域(yu)差異(yi)較大(da)，基尼系數(shu)(shu)呈(cheng)現(xian)(xian)“V”型變(bian)化態勢，區(qu)(qu)域(yu)間差異(yi)是總體差異(yi)的主要來(lai)源。中國省(sheng)域(yu)數(shu)(shu)字(zi)經濟(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)模存在(zai)極化現(xian)(xian)象和空(kong)間效應，東部地區(qu)(qu)省(sheng)份呈(cheng)現(xian)(xian)高低集聚態勢，中部地區(qu)(qu)省(sheng)份呈(cheng)現(xian)(xian)趨同(tong)態勢，西部地區(qu)(qu)省(sheng)份呈(cheng)現(xian)(xian)極化態勢，東北地區(qu)(qu)省(sheng)份則(ze)呈(cheng)現(xian)(xian)高低差別化穩態分(fen)布。

關鍵詞：省(sheng)域數(shu)字經濟增加值；區(qu)域差異；基(ji)尼系數(shu)；空間Kernel密度估計

引言：《“十四五”數字經濟發展規劃》中指出，數字經濟已成為中國經濟高質量發展的關鍵力量。然而由于各省份在產業基礎、科技水平和資源稟賦等方面存在差異，中國數字經濟規模也存在較大的區域差異。省域數字經濟發展的非均衡性或將加劇中國區域經濟發展的不平衡不充分問題，進而阻礙新發展格局的構建。因此，科學準確地測算中國省域數字經濟規模，并進一步探究其區域差異來源及分布動態，對于全面把握中國數字經濟發展的空間格局具有重要意義。數字經濟是助推經濟增長的新動能，為厘清數字經濟發展的空間格局，眾多學者圍繞數字經濟測算、空間差異及分布動態演進展開研究。（1）在(zai)(zai)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)測算方(fang)面，以歐洲統(tong)(tong)計(ji)局(ju)為代表的(de)(de)機構通過(guo)編(bian)制數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)和(he)(he)社會指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)（DESI）來測度(du)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)水平。王軍等(deng)(deng)（2021）[1]與朱(zhu)金(jin)鶴和(he)(he)龐婉(wan)玉（2022）[2]則分(fen)別(bie)從省份與城(cheng)市的(de)(de)角度(du)構建中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)發(fa)展(zhan)評(ping)(ping)價(jia)(jia)指(zhi)(zhi)標體(ti)系。然(ran)(ran)而指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)評(ping)(ping)價(jia)(jia)無法反映(ying)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)的(de)(de)真實規模，因(yin)(yin)此(ci)(ci)(ci)美國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)分(fen)析局(ju)、中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)信(xin)息通信(xin)研(yan)究(jiu)院等(deng)(deng)機構利用(yong)核(he)(he)(he)(he)算方(fang)法計(ji)算了(le)中(zhong)美兩(liang)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)的(de)(de)增加(jia)值。此(ci)(ci)(ci)外，其(qi)他(ta)學(xue)者也分(fen)別(bie)構建不同的(de)(de)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)核(he)(he)(he)(he)算框架(jia)來測算中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)的(de)(de)增加(jia)值[3,4]。2021年，國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)家統(tong)(tong)計(ji)局(ju)頒布(bu)的(de)(de)《數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)及其(qi)核(he)(he)(he)(he)心產(chan)業(ye)統(tong)(tong)計(ji)分(fen)類（2021）》為數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)提(ti)供了(le)權威(wei)的(de)(de)核(he)(he)(he)(he)算框架(jia)。（2）在(zai)(zai)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)空(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)差(cha)異(yi)方(fang)面，部(bu)分(fen)學(xue)者采用(yong)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)探(tan)究(jiu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)的(de)(de)空(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)差(cha)異(yi)[5,6]，但利用(yong)指(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)評(ping)(ping)價(jia)(jia)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)需要控制評(ping)(ping)價(jia)(jia)對象間(jian)(jian)的(de)(de)相(xiang)互影響(xiang)，在(zai)(zai)區域(yu)(yu)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)發(fa)展(zhan)存在(zai)(zai)顯(xian)著空(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)關聯的(de)(de)現實條件下[7]，上述研(yan)究(jiu)忽略了(le)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)的(de)(de)空(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)效(xiao)應(ying)，因(yin)(yin)此(ci)(ci)(ci)所得結論不夠(gou)全面。（3）在(zai)(zai)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)分(fen)布(bu)動(dong)態演(yan)進(jin)方(fang)面，Kernel密(mi)(mi)度(du)估計(ji)是(shi)刻畫分(fen)布(bu)動(dong)態演(yan)進(jin)特征(zheng)的(de)(de)最(zui)常(chang)用(yong)方(fang)法，被廣(guang)泛運用(yong)于(yu)(yu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)分(fen)布(bu)動(dong)態演(yan)進(jin)的(de)(de)研(yan)究(jiu)中(zhong)[8]。然(ran)(ran)而，數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)的(de)(de)重(zhong)要特征(zheng)就是(shi)通過(guo)高效(xiao)的(de)(de)信(xin)息傳(chuan)遞壓縮了(le)時空(kong)(kong)距離，增強了(le)區域(yu)(yu)間(jian)(jian)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)活(huo)動(dong)關聯的(de)(de)廣(guang)度(du)和(he)(he)深度(du)，因(yin)(yin)此(ci)(ci)(ci)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)發(fa)展(zhan)存在(zai)(zai)空(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)效(xiao)應(ying)，而上述研(yan)究(jiu)均忽略了(le)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)發(fa)展(zhan)的(de)(de)空(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)效(xiao)應(ying)。鑒于(yu)(yu)此(ci)(ci)(ci)，本(ben)文將(jiang)時間(jian)(jian)和(he)(he)空(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)因(yin)(yin)素納入傳(chuan)統(tong)(tong)Kernel密(mi)(mi)度(du)估計(ji)模型，利用(yong)空(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)條件Kernel密(mi)(mi)度(du)估計(ji)揭示(shi)省域(yu)(yu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規模的(de)(de)空(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)效(xiao)應(ying)及其(qi)分(fen)布(bu)動(dong)態演(yan)進(jin)。首(shou)先，依據(ju)《數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)及其(qi)核(he)(he)(he)(he)心產(chan)業(ye)統(tong)(tong)計(ji)分(fen)類（2021）》中(zhong)對數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)核(he)(he)(he)(he)心產(chan)業(ye)框架(jia)的(de)(de)界定，借助BEA核(he)(he)(he)(he)算方(fang)法，測算出中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)省域(yu)(yu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規模；其(qi)次，運用(yong)Dagum基尼系數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)及其(qi)分(fen)解(jie)方(fang)法，分(fen)析中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)省域(yu)(yu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規模的(de)(de)區域(yu)(yu)差(cha)異(yi)及其(qi)來源(yuan)；最(zui)后，運用(yong)空(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)條件Kernel密(mi)(mi)度(du)估計(ji)考(kao)察(cha)中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)省域(yu)(yu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規模的(de)(de)空(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)分(fen)布(bu)特征(zheng)及其(qi)時空(kong)(kong)演(yan)變趨勢，為完善中(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)(guo)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規模測算框架(jia)、縮小區域(yu)(yu)間(jian)(jian)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)鴻溝提(ti)供理論依據(ju)和(he)(he)決策參(can)考(kao)。

1研究設計

1.1數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)濟核(he)(he)心產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)范(fan)圍(wei)界定本文(wen)用產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增加值(zhi)來(lai)衡量經(jing)濟規模，依據《數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)濟及(ji)其(qi)核(he)(he)心產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)統(tong)計分類(lei)(lei)(lei)（2021）》，選擇數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)濟核(he)(he)心產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)下(xia)的數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)品制(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)、數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)品服(fu)務(wu)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)、數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)技(ji)術(shu)應用業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)、數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)要素(su)驅動業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)四(si)個(ge)(ge)(ge)大(da)(da)類(lei)(lei)(lei)，構建(jian)(jian)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)國省域數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)濟核(he)(he)心產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增加值(zhi)的核(he)(he)算(suan)框架。各(ge)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)大(da)(da)類(lei)(lei)(lei)具體(ti)包括的產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)類(lei)(lei)(lei)如下(xia)：（1）數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)品制(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)。該(gai)大(da)(da)類(lei)(lei)(lei)共(gong)(gong)包含(han)6個(ge)(ge)(ge)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)類(lei)(lei)(lei)，即(ji)計算(suan)機制(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)(zao)、通信(xin)(xin)及(ji)雷達設(she)(she)備制(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)(zao)、數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)媒(mei)(mei)體(ti)設(she)(she)備制(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)(zao)、智能設(she)(she)備制(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)(zao)、電子元件及(ji)設(she)(she)備制(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)(zao)、其(qi)他(ta)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)品制(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)。（2）數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)品服(fu)務(wu)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)。該(gai)大(da)(da)類(lei)(lei)(lei)共(gong)(gong)包含(han)5個(ge)(ge)(ge)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)類(lei)(lei)(lei)，即(ji)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)品批發、數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)品零(ling)售(shou)、數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)品租賃、數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)品維修、其(qi)他(ta)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)品服(fu)務(wu)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)。（3）數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)技(ji)術(shu)應用業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)。該(gai)大(da)(da)類(lei)(lei)(lei)共(gong)(gong)包含(han)5個(ge)(ge)(ge)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)類(lei)(lei)(lei)，即(ji)軟件開(kai)發，電信(xin)(xin)、廣播電視(shi)和衛星傳輸服(fu)務(wu)，互(hu)(hu)聯網相關服(fu)務(wu)，信(xin)(xin)息技(ji)術(shu)服(fu)務(wu)，其(qi)他(ta)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)技(ji)術(shu)應用業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)。（4）數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)要素(su)驅動業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)。該(gai)大(da)(da)類(lei)(lei)(lei)共(gong)(gong)包含(han)7個(ge)(ge)(ge)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)類(lei)(lei)(lei)，即(ji)互(hu)(hu)聯網平臺、互(hu)(hu)聯網批發零(ling)售(shou)、互(hu)(hu)聯網金(jin)融、數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)內容與(yu)媒(mei)(mei)體(ti)、信(xin)(xin)息基(ji)礎設(she)(she)施(shi)建(jian)(jian)設(she)(she)、數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)資源與(yu)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)權(quan)交(jiao)易、其(qi)他(ta)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)要素(su)驅動業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)。

1.2研究方法

1.2.1中(zhong)國省域數字經濟規(gui)模(mo)測算(suan)方法(fa)

（1）數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)品(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)測(ce)算(suan)(suan)(suan)(suan)。由于(yu)(yu)現有統計(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)是按《國(guo)民經濟(ji)(ji)(ji)行業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)分(fen)(fen)類(lei)》中(zhong)(zhong)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)行業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)類(lei)別(bie)來(lai)公布增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)，而與(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經濟(ji)(ji)(ji)活(huo)動相關(guan)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)行業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)可能僅為(wei)行業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)中(zhong)(zhong)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)某小類(lei)，因(yin)(yin)此(ci)參(can)照許憲春和(he)(he)(he)張美(mei)慧（2020）[3]的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)做(zuo)法，通過數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經濟(ji)(ji)(ji)調(diao)(diao)(diao)整(zheng)系(xi)(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)計(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)算(suan)(suan)(suan)(suan)與(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經濟(ji)(ji)(ji)活(huo)動相關(guan)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)。基于(yu)(yu)各(ge)(ge)省份(fen)投入(ru)(ru)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)出(chu)表(biao)補充制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經濟(ji)(ji)(ji)調(diao)(diao)(diao)整(zheng)系(xi)(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)，在此(ci)基礎上計(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)算(suan)(suan)(suan)(suan)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)品(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)調(diao)(diao)(diao)整(zheng)系(xi)(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)與(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)乘積，得到計(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)算(suan)(suan)(suan)(suan)機(ji)、通信(xin)(xin)和(he)(he)(he)其(qi)他(ta)(ta)電子設備制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)。因(yin)(yin)此(ci)，數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)品(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)=數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)品(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)調(diao)(diao)(diao)整(zheng)系(xi)(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)×制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)。（2）數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)品(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)服(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)測(ce)算(suan)(suan)(suan)(suan)。由于(yu)(yu)統計(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)口徑(jing)限制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)，本文僅考慮數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)品(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)批(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)發(fa)(fa)(fa)與(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)品(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)零(ling)售(shou)(shou)(shou)兩(liang)個(ge)中(zhong)(zhong)類(lei)。以數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)品(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)調(diao)(diao)(diao)整(zheng)系(xi)(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)表(biao)示批(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)發(fa)(fa)(fa)與(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)零(ling)售(shou)(shou)(shou)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)中(zhong)(zhong)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)品(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)所占的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)比(bi)重。因(yin)(yin)此(ci)，數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)品(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)服(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)=數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)品(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)調(diao)(diao)(diao)整(zheng)系(xi)(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)×批(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)發(fa)(fa)(fa)零(ling)售(shou)(shou)(shou)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)。（3）數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)技(ji)術(shu)(shu)應用業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)測(ce)算(suan)(suan)(suan)(suan)。核算(suan)(suan)(suan)(suan)范圍包(bao)括(kuo)軟(ruan)件開發(fa)(fa)(fa)，電信(xin)(xin)、廣(guang)(guang)播電視(shi)和(he)(he)(he)衛星傳(chuan)(chuan)輸服(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)，互(hu)聯(lian)網(wang)相關(guan)服(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)，信(xin)(xin)息(xi)技(ji)術(shu)(shu)服(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)，其(qi)他(ta)(ta)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)技(ji)術(shu)(shu)應用業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)，即信(xin)(xin)息(xi)傳(chuan)(chuan)輸、軟(ruan)件服(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)與(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)信(xin)(xin)息(xi)技(ji)術(shu)(shu)服(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)。該(gai)部(bu)分(fen)(fen)增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)可由各(ge)(ge)省份(fen)統計(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)年鑒中(zhong)(zhong)信(xin)(xin)息(xi)傳(chuan)(chuan)輸、軟(ruan)件和(he)(he)(he)信(xin)(xin)息(xi)技(ji)術(shu)(shu)服(fu)(fu)務(wu)(wu)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)得到，其(qi)中(zhong)(zhong)缺失數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)處理方(fang)式與(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)一致。（4）數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)要素驅動業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)測(ce)算(suan)(suan)(suan)(suan)。該(gai)大(da)類(lei)下的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)互(hu)聯(lian)網(wang)平(ping)(ping)臺(tai)中(zhong)(zhong)類(lei)中(zhong)(zhong)包(bao)含非(fei)營(ying)利性平(ping)(ping)臺(tai)，相關(guan)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)較難獲取；信(xin)(xin)息(xi)基礎設施建設與(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)其(qi)他(ta)(ta)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)要素驅動業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)兩(liang)個(ge)中(zhong)(zhong)類(lei)同時涉及(ji)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經濟(ji)(ji)(ji)與(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)非(fei)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經濟(ji)(ji)(ji)活(huo)動，難以分(fen)(fen)離其(qi)中(zhong)(zhong)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經濟(ji)(ji)(ji)部(bu)分(fen)(fen)；另外，互(hu)聯(lian)網(wang)金融(rong)缺乏充分(fen)(fen)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)支持。因(yin)(yin)此(ci)，以上類(lei)別(bie)未納入(ru)(ru)測(ce)算(suan)(suan)(suan)(suan)范圍，余(yu)下中(zhong)(zhong)類(lei)主要為(wei)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)內容與(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)媒(mei)體和(he)(he)(he)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)化(hua)(hua)(hua)交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)易（包(bao)括(kuo)互(hu)聯(lian)網(wang)批(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)發(fa)(fa)(fa)零(ling)售(shou)(shou)(shou)、數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)資(zi)源與(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)產(chan)(chan)(chan)(chan)權交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)易）兩(liang)部(bu)分(fen)(fen)，分(fen)(fen)別(bie)計(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)算(suan)(suan)(suan)(suan)二(er)者的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)后(hou)進行加(jia)(jia)總(zong)。首先(xian)，計(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)算(suan)(suan)(suan)(suan)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)內容與(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)媒(mei)體部(bu)分(fen)(fen)。文化(hua)(hua)(hua)、體育(yu)和(he)(he)(he)娛(yu)樂(le)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經濟(ji)(ji)(ji)調(diao)(diao)(diao)整(zheng)系(xi)(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)=（廣(guang)(guang)播、電視(shi)、電影和(he)(he)(he)影視(shi)錄(lu)音制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)作業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)營(ying)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)收(shou)(shou)入(ru)(ru)+音像制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)品(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)(pin)出(chu)版營(ying)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)收(shou)(shou)入(ru)(ru)+電子出(chu)版物出(chu)版營(ying)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)收(shou)(shou)入(ru)(ru)+數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)出(chu)版營(ying)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)收(shou)(shou)入(ru)(ru)）/文化(hua)(hua)(hua)、體育(yu)和(he)(he)(he)娛(yu)樂(le)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)營(ying)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)收(shou)(shou)入(ru)(ru)。因(yin)(yin)此(ci)，數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)內容與(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)媒(mei)體增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)=文化(hua)(hua)(hua)、體育(yu)和(he)(he)(he)娛(yu)樂(le)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經濟(ji)(ji)(ji)調(diao)(diao)(diao)整(zheng)系(xi)(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)×文化(hua)(hua)(hua)、體育(yu)和(he)(he)(he)娛(yu)樂(le)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)。其(qi)次，計(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)算(suan)(suan)(suan)(suan)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)化(hua)(hua)(hua)交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)易部(bu)分(fen)(fen)。批(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)發(fa)(fa)(fa)零(ling)售(shou)(shou)(shou)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經濟(ji)(ji)(ji)調(diao)(diao)(diao)整(zheng)系(xi)(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)=（互(hu)聯(lian)網(wang)批(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)發(fa)(fa)(fa)營(ying)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)收(shou)(shou)入(ru)(ru)+互(hu)聯(lian)網(wang)零(ling)售(shou)(shou)(shou)營(ying)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)收(shou)(shou)入(ru)(ru)+貿(mao)易代理營(ying)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)收(shou)(shou)入(ru)(ru)）/（批(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)發(fa)(fa)(fa)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)營(ying)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)收(shou)(shou)入(ru)(ru)+零(ling)售(shou)(shou)(shou)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)營(ying)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)收(shou)(shou)入(ru)(ru)）①。因(yin)(yin)此(ci)，數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)化(hua)(hua)(hua)交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)易增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)=批(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)發(fa)(fa)(fa)零(ling)售(shou)(shou)(shou)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經濟(ji)(ji)(ji)調(diao)(diao)(diao)整(zheng)系(xi)(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)×批(pi)(pi)(pi)(pi)發(fa)(fa)(fa)零(ling)售(shou)(shou)(shou)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)。最后(hou)，將以上兩(liang)個(ge)部(bu)分(fen)(fen)相加(jia)(jia)得到數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)要素驅動業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)，即數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)要素驅動業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)=數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)內容與(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)媒(mei)體增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)+數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)化(hua)(hua)(hua)交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)易增(zeng)加(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)。

1.2.2Dagum基(ji)尼系數(shu)及其分解方法(fa)

根(gen)據(ju)Dagum（1997）[9]提出的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)基尼系數(shu)(shu)及(ji)其(qi)(qi)按子(zi)群(qun)分解的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)方(fang)法，總體(ti)差(cha)異(yi)G可(ke)分解為(wei)區(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)內(nei)差(cha)異(yi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)貢(gong)(gong)獻(xian)Gw、區(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)間(jian)差(cha)異(yi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)貢(gong)(gong)獻(xian)Gnb和超(chao)變密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)貢(gong)(gong)獻(xian)Gt。G=?j=1k?h=1k?i=1nj?r=1nhy||ji-yhr2n2yˉG=Gw+Gnb+Gt（1）Gw=?j=1kGjjpjsj（2）Gnb=?j=2k?h=1j-1Gjh(p)jsh+phsjDjh（3）Gt=?j=2k?h=1j-1Gjh(p)jsh+phsj(1-D)jh（4）式(shi)(shi)（1）為(wei)總體(ti)基尼系數(shu)(shu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)計(ji)(ji)(ji)算公式(shi)(shi)。其(qi)(qi)中，yji(yhr)是j(h)區(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)內(nei)任(ren)一省(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)數(shu)(shu)字經(jing)濟規模，yˉ是各省(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)字經(jing)濟規模的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)均值，n為(wei)省(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)量，k為(wei)劃分的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)區(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)數(shu)(shu)量，nj(nh)是j(h)區(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)內(nei)省(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)數(shu)(shu)量。式(shi)(shi)（2）代(dai)表區(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)內(nei)差(cha)異(yi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)貢(gong)(gong)獻(xian)。其(qi)(qi)中，Gjj為(wei)j區(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)基尼系數(shu)(shu)，pj=nj/n，sj=nj-YjnYˉ，Djh為(wei)j、h區(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)間(jian)數(shu)(shu)字經(jing)濟規模的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)相對影響。式(shi)(shi)（3）為(wei)區(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)間(jian)差(cha)異(yi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)貢(gong)(gong)獻(xian)。其(qi)(qi)中，Gjh為(wei)j、h區(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)間(jian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)基尼系數(shu)(shu)。式(shi)(shi)（4）為(wei)超(chao)變密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)貢(gong)(gong)獻(xian)。1.2.3Kernel密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)估(gu)計(ji)(ji)(ji)Kernel密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)估(gu)計(ji)(ji)(ji)作(zuo)為(wei)非參(can)數(shu)(shu)估(gu)計(ji)(ji)(ji)方(fang)法，主要通過連續的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)曲線刻畫隨機(ji)變量的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)分布(bu)形態[10]。空間(jian)條件(jian)(jian)Kernel密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)估(gu)計(ji)(ji)(ji)將時間(jian)和空間(jian)因素納入傳統(tong)Kernel密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)估(gu)計(ji)(ji)(ji)模型，用于估(gu)計(ji)(ji)(ji)隨機(ji)變量的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)概(gai)率密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)。本文使用高(gao)斯核函數(shu)(shu)進行空間(jian)條件(jian)(jian)Kernel密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)估(gu)計(ji)(ji)(ji)。g(y|x)=f(xy)f(x)（5）f(xy)=1Nhxhy?i=1NKx?è???÷Xi-xhxKy?è???÷Yi-xhy（6）其(qi)(qi)中，式(shi)(shi)（5）表示(shi)在x條件(jian)(jian)下y的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)分布(bu)狀(zhuang)態，f(x)代(dai)表x的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)邊際核密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)函數(shu)(shu)；式(shi)(shi)（6）代(dai)表x與y的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)聯(lian)合核密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)函數(shu)(shu)。

1.3數據來源

（1）數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)產品制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)核(he)(he)算數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)。計(ji)(ji)(ji)算機、通信和(he)其(qi)他(ta)電子設備制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)和(he)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)總增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)來(lai)(lai)源(yuan)(yuan)于2007年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)、2012年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)和(he)2017年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)的(de)(de)(de)各(ge)省(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)投入產出表，利用鄰近年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)采(cai)用相(xiang)同調整(zheng)(zheng)系(xi)(xi)(xi)(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)的(de)(de)(de)方(fang)式對2006—2019年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)調整(zheng)(zheng)系(xi)(xi)(xi)(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)的(de)(de)(de)缺失(shi)(shi)值(zhi)(zhi)進(jin)行補(bu)充(chong)。考察期內各(ge)省(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)來(lai)(lai)源(yuan)(yuan)于各(ge)省(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)統計(ji)(ji)(ji)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)鑒(jian)，缺失(shi)(shi)值(zhi)(zhi)采(cai)用2007年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)、2012年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)和(he)2017年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)占工(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)的(de)(de)(de)比(bi)重與(yu)(yu)(yu)當(dang)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)工(gong)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)的(de)(de)(de)乘(cheng)積進(jin)行補(bu)充(chong)。（2）數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)產品服務業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)核(he)(he)算數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)。2006—2019年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)批發(fa)與(yu)(yu)(yu)零售(shou)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)來(lai)(lai)源(yuan)(yuan)于EPS數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)平臺，缺失(shi)(shi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)處理(li)方(fang)式與(yu)(yu)(yu)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)一致(zhi)。（3）數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)技術(shu)應用業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)核(he)(he)算數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)。2006—2019年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)技術(shu)應用業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)來(lai)(lai)源(yuan)(yuan)于各(ge)省(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)統計(ji)(ji)(ji)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)鑒(jian)中的(de)(de)(de)信息傳輸、軟件和(he)信息技術(shu)服務業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)，缺失(shi)(shi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)處理(li)方(fang)式與(yu)(yu)(yu)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)一致(zhi)。（4）數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)要(yao)(yao)素驅(qu)動業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)核(he)(he)算數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)。2006—2019年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)內容與(yu)(yu)(yu)媒體(ti)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)主要(yao)(yao)來(lai)(lai)源(yuan)(yuan)于各(ge)省(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)經(jing)濟(ji)普查年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)鑒(jian)，對非經(jing)濟(ji)普查年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)的(de)(de)(de)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)，依照相(xiang)近普查年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)的(de)(de)(de)文化(hua)、體(ti)育和(he)娛樂業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)調整(zheng)(zheng)系(xi)(xi)(xi)(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)予以(yi)(yi)補(bu)充(chong)。其(qi)中，文化(hua)、體(ti)育和(he)娛樂業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)來(lai)(lai)源(yuan)(yuan)于各(ge)省(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)統計(ji)(ji)(ji)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)鑒(jian)，缺失(shi)(shi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)處理(li)方(fang)式與(yu)(yu)(yu)制(zhi)(zhi)(zhi)造(zao)(zao)(zao)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)加(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)一致(zhi)。2006—2019年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)化(hua)交易數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)來(lai)(lai)源(yuan)(yuan)于各(ge)省(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)經(jing)濟(ji)普查年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)鑒(jian)。由于統計(ji)(ji)(ji)口徑(jing)改變，2004年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)和(he)2008年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)采(cai)用各(ge)行業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)主營(ying)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)務收入計(ji)(ji)(ji)算批發(fa)零售(shou)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)調整(zheng)(zheng)系(xi)(xi)(xi)(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)。參(can)照許憲(xian)春(chun)和(he)張美慧（2020）[3]的(de)(de)(de)方(fang)法，非經(jing)濟(ji)普查年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)的(de)(de)(de)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)據(ju)(ju)依照相(xiang)近普查年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)批發(fa)零售(shou)業(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)(ye)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)調整(zheng)(zheng)系(xi)(xi)(xi)(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)予以(yi)(yi)補(bu)充(chong)。

2結果分析

2.1數字(zi)經濟(ji)規模測算結果分析

表(biao)1列(lie)(lie)出(chu)了2006—2019年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)國30個(ge)(ge)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)的(de)(de)(de)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)及其(qi)組(zu)成(cheng)結構(gou)。總(zong)(zong)(zong)(zong)體(ti)來看(kan)(kan)，考察期(qi)內中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)國省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)域(yu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)均(jun)(jun)(jun)(jun)值(zhi)(zhi)為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)1165.07億元(yuan)，占(zhan)(zhan)GDP的(de)(de)(de)比(bi)(bi)(bi)重(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)4.79%，其(qi)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)“十(shi)(shi)(shi)三(san)五(wu)(wu)”時期(qi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)是(shi)“十(shi)(shi)(shi)一(yi)五(wu)(wu)”時期(qi)的(de)(de)(de)3.07倍(bei)。從(cong)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)域(yu)層面(mian)看(kan)(kan)，有12個(ge)(ge)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)的(de)(de)(de)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)占(zhan)(zhan)GDP的(de)(de)(de)比(bi)(bi)(bi)重(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)超過全(quan)(quan)國均(jun)(jun)(jun)(jun)值(zhi)(zhi)，東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)有7個(ge)(ge)，中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)西(xi)(xi)(xi)部(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)僅有5個(ge)(ge)。其(qi)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)，北(bei)(bei)(bei)京(jing)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)均(jun)(jun)(jun)(jun)值(zhi)(zhi)為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)2624.07億元(yuan)，對(dui)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)增(zeng)長(chang)的(de)(de)(de)貢獻(xian)率最(zui)高(gao)，為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)13.15%；而(er)內蒙古和新疆數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)對(dui)其(qi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)增(zeng)長(chang)的(de)(de)(de)貢獻(xian)率均(jun)(jun)(jun)(jun)不足2%。表(biao)明(ming)(ming)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)間(jian)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)存(cun)在較大差異(yi)，提高(gao)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)對(dui)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)西(xi)(xi)(xi)部(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)增(zeng)長(chang)尤為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)緊迫和必(bi)要。進一(yi)步(bu)分(fen)(fen)(fen)析數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)的(de)(de)(de)組(zu)成(cheng)結構(gou)。整(zheng)體(ti)來看(kan)(kan)，數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產品制(zhi)造(zao)業(ye)與數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)技術應用業(ye)為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)最(zui)重(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)要的(de)(de)(de)組(zu)成(cheng)部(bu)(bu)(bu)分(fen)(fen)(fen)，占(zhan)(zhan)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)總(zong)(zong)(zong)(zong)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)的(de)(de)(de)比(bi)(bi)(bi)重(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)分(fen)(fen)(fen)別為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)44.15%和45.90%。從(cong)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)域(yu)層面(mian)看(kan)(kan)，廣東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)、江(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)蘇(su)等東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)各核心產業(ye)的(de)(de)(de)增(zeng)加(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)均(jun)(jun)(jun)(jun)處于領先地(di)(di)(di)位(wei)，是(shi)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)國數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)發(fa)展的(de)(de)(de)“領頭(tou)羊(yang)”。西(xi)(xi)(xi)部(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)整(zheng)體(ti)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)相(xiang)對(dui)落(luo)后，但四(si)(si)川數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產品制(zhi)造(zao)業(ye)增(zeng)加(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)位(wei)列(lie)(lie)第五(wu)(wu)，同時寧夏(xia)、青海(hai)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產品服務業(ye)增(zeng)加(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)占(zhan)(zhan)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)總(zong)(zong)(zong)(zong)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)的(de)(de)(de)比(bi)(bi)(bi)重(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)排在前(qian)兩位(wei)。上述(shu)結果表(biao)明(ming)(ming)，中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)國區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)間(jian)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)雖存(cun)在較大差異(yi)，但西(xi)(xi)(xi)部(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)發(fa)展存(cun)在顯著(zhu)的(de)(de)(de)追(zhui)趕(gan)效(xiao)應。本文依據國家統計局的(de)(de)(de)劃(hua)分(fen)(fen)(fen)標準，將30個(ge)(ge)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)劃(hua)分(fen)(fen)(fen)為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)、中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)、西(xi)(xi)(xi)、東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)北(bei)(bei)(bei)四(si)(si)大經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)。下頁圖1刻畫了全(quan)(quan)國和四(si)(si)大經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)的(de)(de)(de)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)及其(qi)占(zhan)(zhan)GDP的(de)(de)(de)比(bi)(bi)(bi)重(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)的(de)(de)(de)演(yan)變趨(qu)勢。可以看(kan)(kan)出(chu)：（1）在數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)方面(mian)，東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)最(zui)高(gao)，中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)次之，而(er)西(xi)(xi)(xi)部(bu)(bu)(bu)和東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)北(bei)(bei)(bei)地(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)較為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)接近。全(quan)(quan)國、東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)、中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)和西(xi)(xi)(xi)部(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)的(de)(de)(de)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)均(jun)(jun)(jun)(jun)逐(zhu)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)遞增(zeng)，而(er)東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)北(bei)(bei)(bei)地(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)以2015年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)界(jie)，呈現“倒V”型(xing)變化態勢。（2）在數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)占(zhan)(zhan)GDP的(de)(de)(de)比(bi)(bi)(bi)重(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)方面(mian)，東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)對(dui)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)增(zeng)長(chang)的(de)(de)(de)貢獻(xian)率最(zui)高(gao)，均(jun)(jun)(jun)(jun)值(zhi)(zhi)為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)7.04%，遠高(gao)于全(quan)(quan)國均(jun)(jun)(jun)(jun)值(zhi)(zhi)（4.79%）。中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)、西(xi)(xi)(xi)部(bu)(bu)(bu)和東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)北(bei)(bei)(bei)地(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)占(zhan)(zhan)GDP的(de)(de)(de)比(bi)(bi)(bi)重(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)分(fen)(fen)(fen)別為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)4.10%、3.62%和2.94%，均(jun)(jun)(jun)(jun)低于全(quan)(quan)國均(jun)(jun)(jun)(jun)值(zhi)(zhi)。經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)實證表(biao)1中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)國省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)域(yu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)及其(qi)組(zu)成(cheng)成(cheng)分(fen)(fen)(fen)（單位(wei)：億元(yuan)，%）省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)北(bei)(bei)(bei)京(jing)天津河(he)北(bei)(bei)(bei)山(shan)西(xi)(xi)(xi)內蒙古遼寧吉(ji)林黑龍江(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)上海(hai)江(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)蘇(su)浙江(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)安徽福建江(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)西(xi)(xi)(xi)山(shan)東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)河(he)南湖北(bei)(bei)(bei)湖南廣東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)廣西(xi)(xi)(xi)海(hai)南重(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)慶(qing)四(si)(si)川貴州云南陜西(xi)(xi)(xi)甘(gan)肅青海(hai)寧夏(xia)新疆“十(shi)(shi)(shi)一(yi)五(wu)(wu)”“十(shi)(shi)(shi)二(er)五(wu)(wu)”“十(shi)(shi)(shi)三(san)五(wu)(wu)”總(zong)(zong)(zong)(zong)體(ti)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)均(jun)(jun)(jun)(jun)值(zhi)(zhi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)總(zong)(zong)(zong)(zong)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)據為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)考察期(qi)內各省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)的(de)(de)(de)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)均(jun)(jun)(jun)(jun)值(zhi)(zhi)，“十(shi)(shi)(shi)一(yi)五(wu)(wu)”“十(shi)(shi)(shi)二(er)五(wu)(wu)”“十(shi)(shi)(shi)三(san)五(wu)(wu)”和總(zong)(zong)(zong)(zong)體(ti)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)均(jun)(jun)(jun)(jun)值(zhi)(zhi)的(de)(de)(de)數(shu)(shu)(shu)據均(jun)(jun)(jun)(jun)為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)相(xiang)應時段(duan)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)國30個(ge)(ge)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)的(de)(de)(de)年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)均(jun)(jun)(jun)(jun)值(zhi)(zhi)；數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)的(de)(de)(de)“占(zhan)(zhan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)”指數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)總(zong)(zong)(zong)(zong)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)占(zhan)(zhan)GDP的(de)(de)(de)比(bi)(bi)(bi)重(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)，四(si)(si)個(ge)(ge)產業(ye)大類中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)的(de)(de)(de)占(zhan)(zhan)比(bi)(bi)(bi)指各產業(ye)大類增(zeng)加(jia)值(zhi)(zhi)占(zhan)(zhan)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)總(zong)(zong)(zong)(zong)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)的(de)(de)(de)比(bi)(bi)(bi)重(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)；“十(shi)(shi)(shi)一(yi)五(wu)(wu)”時期(qi)指2006—2010年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)，“十(shi)(shi)(shi)二(er)五(wu)(wu)”時期(qi)指2011—2016年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)，“十(shi)(shi)(shi)三(san)五(wu)(wu)”時期(qi)指2016—2019年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)。

2.2數(shu)字經濟(ji)規模(mo)的區域(yu)差(cha)異(yi)及其(qi)來源

2.2.1數字經濟規(gui)模(mo)的總(zong)體區域差異及其演(yan)變趨勢(shi)

圖2展示中(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)省(sheng)域(yu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字經(jing)濟(ji)規(gui)(gui)模(mo)總(zong)(zong)(zong)體(ti)(ti)(ti)基(ji)(ji)尼系(xi)(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)的(de)(de)走勢(shi)，中(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)省(sheng)域(yu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字經(jing)濟(ji)規(gui)(gui)模(mo)區域(yu)差異明顯(xian)，基(ji)(ji)尼系(xi)(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)均(jun)值(zhi)為0.5725。中(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)省(sheng)域(yu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字經(jing)濟(ji)規(gui)(gui)模(mo)總(zong)(zong)(zong)體(ti)(ti)(ti)差異呈現先降(jiang)后升的(de)(de)“V”型變化(hua)態(tai)勢(shi)。2006—2015年總(zong)(zong)(zong)體(ti)(ti)(ti)基(ji)(ji)尼系(xi)(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)年均(jun)下降(jiang)0.45%，其中(zhong)(zhong)，2015年降(jiang)幅最大，為9.54%，隨(sui)后總(zong)(zong)(zong)體(ti)(ti)(ti)基(ji)(ji)尼系(xi)(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)以(yi)年均(jun)2.42%的(de)(de)速(su)(su)(su)度上升。原因可(ke)能在于(yu)，2014年創(chuang)新(xin)創(chuang)業政(zheng)策及對(dui)網店的(de)(de)貸(dai)款(kuan)擔保和貼息政(zheng)策的(de)(de)出臺(tai)加速(su)(su)(su)了省(sheng)份間的(de)(de)電子商務(wu)往來(lai)，迅速(su)(su)(su)縮小了省(sheng)際數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字鴻溝，但隨(sui)著“十(shi)三五”規(gui)(gui)劃中(zhong)(zhong)提出加快數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字中(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)建設，各省(sheng)份加速(su)(su)(su)搶占數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字經(jing)濟(ji)發(fa)展新(xin)高(gao)地，發(fa)達省(sheng)份對(dui)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字資源產生“虹吸效應”[11]，擴大了中(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)(guo)(guo)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字經(jing)濟(ji)規(gui)(gui)模(mo)的(de)(de)總(zong)(zong)(zong)體(ti)(ti)(ti)差異。

2.2.2數(shu)字經濟規模區(qu)域(yu)差異的分解

（1）數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)規模的(de)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)內(nei)(nei)差(cha)(cha)異(yi)。由表2可(ke)知，東(dong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)和(he)(he)(he)西(xi)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)內(nei)(nei)差(cha)(cha)異(yi)較(jiao)(jiao)大，區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)內(nei)(nei)基(ji)(ji)(ji)尼(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)系(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)均(jun)(jun)值分別(bie)為(wei)0.4628和(he)(he)(he)0.4609。2012年(nian)(nian)以前東(dong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)基(ji)(ji)(ji)尼(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)系(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)高(gao)于(yu)西(xi)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)，此后(hou)西(xi)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)成為(wei)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)地(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)差(cha)(cha)異(yi)最為(wei)顯著的(de)地(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)，并出現極化現象。中部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)和(he)(he)(he)東(dong)北(bei)地(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)內(nei)(nei)差(cha)(cha)異(yi)較(jiao)(jiao)小，區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)內(nei)(nei)基(ji)(ji)(ji)尼(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)系(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)均(jun)(jun)值分別(bie)為(wei)0.1982和(he)(he)(he)0.2389。在基(ji)(ji)(ji)尼(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)系(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)的(de)演變趨勢(shi)方(fang)面，東(dong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)基(ji)(ji)(ji)尼(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)系(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)總體(ti)未發生明顯波動；西(xi)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)基(ji)(ji)(ji)尼(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)系(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)呈(cheng)現波動上(shang)升(sheng)(sheng)態勢(shi)；中部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)2014—2015年(nian)(nian)基(ji)(ji)(ji)尼(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)系(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)下降幅(fu)度達(da)36.21%，其(qi)余年(nian)(nian)份基(ji)(ji)(ji)尼(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)系(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)較(jiao)(jiao)為(wei)平穩；東(dong)北(bei)地(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)基(ji)(ji)(ji)尼(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)系(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)則呈(cheng)現波動上(shang)升(sheng)(sheng)態勢(shi)。（2）數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)規模的(de)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)間(jian)差(cha)(cha)異(yi)。由表3可(ke)知，區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)間(jian)基(ji)(ji)(ji)尼(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)系(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)以0.5為(wei)界(jie)，將各(ge)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)間(jian)差(cha)(cha)異(yi)分為(wei)兩組。考察(cha)期內(nei)(nei)，東(dong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)-中部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)、東(dong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)-西(xi)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)、東(dong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)-東(dong)北(bei)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)規模區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)間(jian)差(cha)(cha)異(yi)較(jiao)(jiao)大，區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)間(jian)基(ji)(ji)(ji)尼(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)系(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)均(jun)(jun)高(gao)于(yu)0.5。而中部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)-西(xi)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)、中部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)-東(dong)北(bei)、西(xi)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)-東(dong)北(bei)數(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)規模區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)間(jian)差(cha)(cha)異(yi)較(jiao)(jiao)小，區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)間(jian)基(ji)(ji)(ji)尼(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)系(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)均(jun)(jun)低于(yu)0.5。此外，2014年(nian)(nian)各(ge)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)間(jian)基(ji)(ji)(ji)尼(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)(ni)系(xi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)均(jun)(jun)有所下降，隨后(hou)則呈(cheng)現上(shang)升(sheng)(sheng)態勢(shi)。

（3）數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)差(cha)(cha)異(yi)(yi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)來(lai)源及(ji)其(qi)(qi)(qi)貢(gong)(gong)獻(xian)(xian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)。由表(biao)2和(he)(he)(he)表(biao)3可知，區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)間(jian)(jian)(jian)(jian)差(cha)(cha)異(yi)(yi)對(dui)(dui)(dui)總體(ti)差(cha)(cha)異(yi)(yi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)貢(gong)(gong)獻(xian)(xian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)最高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)，均值(zhi)為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)68.3%，區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)內差(cha)(cha)異(yi)(yi)和(he)(he)(he)超變(bian)(bian)(bian)密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)(du)(du)(du)對(dui)(dui)(dui)總體(ti)差(cha)(cha)異(yi)(yi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)貢(gong)(gong)獻(xian)(xian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)均值(zhi)分(fen)(fen)(fen)別為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)23.57%和(he)(he)(he)8.13%。從(cong)(cong)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)差(cha)(cha)異(yi)(yi)貢(gong)(gong)獻(xian)(xian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)演(yan)變(bian)(bian)(bian)趨(qu)勢(shi)(shi)來(lai)看(kan)（見圖(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)3），區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)間(jian)(jian)(jian)(jian)差(cha)(cha)異(yi)(yi)貢(gong)(gong)獻(xian)(xian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)、區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)內差(cha)(cha)異(yi)(yi)貢(gong)(gong)獻(xian)(xian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)及(ji)超變(bian)(bian)(bian)密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)(du)(du)(du)貢(gong)(gong)獻(xian)(xian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)均未出現(xian)大幅波動(dong)(dong)，區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)間(jian)(jian)(jian)(jian)差(cha)(cha)異(yi)(yi)貢(gong)(gong)獻(xian)(xian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)始終高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)于(yu)(yu)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)內差(cha)(cha)異(yi)(yi)貢(gong)(gong)獻(xian)(xian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)和(he)(he)(he)超變(bian)(bian)(bian)密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)(du)(du)(du)貢(gong)(gong)獻(xian)(xian)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)。由此可見，區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)間(jian)(jian)(jian)(jian)差(cha)(cha)異(yi)(yi)是中(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)總體(ti)差(cha)(cha)異(yi)(yi)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)主要(yao)來(lai)源。2.3數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)空(kong)(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)(jian)(jian)分(fen)(fen)(fen)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)動(dong)(dong)態(tai)(tai)(tai)(tai)為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)全面把握(wo)中(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)域(yu)(yu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)空(kong)(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)(jian)(jian)分(fen)(fen)(fen)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)式及(ji)動(dong)(dong)態(tai)(tai)(tai)(tai)演(yan)進(jin)(jin)趨(qu)勢(shi)(shi)，本(ben)文借(jie)助空(kong)(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)(jian)(jian)條(tiao)件動(dong)(dong)態(tai)(tai)(tai)(tai)Kernel密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)(du)(du)(du)估計揭示相(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)鄰(lin)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)對(dui)(dui)(dui)本(ben)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)動(dong)(dong)態(tai)(tai)(tai)(tai)演(yan)進(jin)(jin)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)影(ying)響及(ji)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)空(kong)(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)(jian)(jian)分(fen)(fen)(fen)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)動(dong)(dong)態(tai)(tai)(tai)(tai)。下頁圖(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)4至圖(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)8刻畫了(le)(le)全國(guo)及(ji)四(si)大經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)分(fen)(fen)(fen)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)空(kong)(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)(jian)(jian)動(dong)(dong)態(tai)(tai)(tai)(tai)Kernel密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)(du)(du)(du)和(he)(he)(he)密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)(du)(du)(du)等(deng)高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)線(xian)(xian)(xian)。其(qi)(qi)(qi)中(zhong)(zhong)，X軸(zhou)(zhou)(zhou)(zhou)為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)t年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)相(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)鄰(lin)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)相(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)對(dui)(dui)(dui)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)，Y軸(zhou)(zhou)(zhou)(zhou)為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)t+3年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)本(ben)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)相(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)對(dui)(dui)(dui)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)。圖(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)4（a）和(he)(he)(he)圖(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)4（b）報(bao)(bao)(bao)告了(le)(le)中(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)域(yu)(yu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)分(fen)(fen)(fen)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)空(kong)(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)(jian)(jian)動(dong)(dong)態(tai)(tai)(tai)(tai)Kernel密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)(du)(du)(du)和(he)(he)(he)密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)(du)(du)(du)等(deng)高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)線(xian)(xian)(xian)。當(dang)(dang)t年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)相(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)鄰(lin)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)較(jiao)(jiao)低(di)時(shi)(shi)(shi)，t+3年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)本(ben)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)仍(reng)較(jiao)(jiao)低(di)。同(tong)時(shi)(shi)(shi)，可以看(kan)出概(gai)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)(du)(du)(du)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)主體(ti)位于(yu)(yu)45°對(dui)(dui)(dui)角線(xian)(xian)(xian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)下方(fang)，說明(ming)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)分(fen)(fen)(fen)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)有向下轉(zhuan)變(bian)(bian)(bian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)趨(qu)勢(shi)(shi)。隨(sui)(sui)著t年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)相(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)鄰(lin)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)增加，圖(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)形分(fen)(fen)(fen)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)平(ping)(ping)行(xing)(xing)于(yu)(yu)x軸(zhou)(zhou)(zhou)(zhou)且距離(li)x軸(zhou)(zhou)(zhou)(zhou)較(jiao)(jiao)近，表(biao)明(ming)隨(sui)(sui)著相(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)鄰(lin)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)由低(di)轉(zhuan)高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)，中(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)域(yu)(yu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)呈(cheng)(cheng)(cheng)現(xian)低(di)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)集(ji)(ji)(ji)聚(ju)(ju)分(fen)(fen)(fen)化(hua)態(tai)(tai)(tai)(tai)勢(shi)(shi)，存(cun)(cun)(cun)在(zai)(zai)(zai)集(ji)(ji)(ji)聚(ju)(ju)與(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)極(ji)化(hua)現(xian)象。可能的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)原因(yin)在(zai)(zai)(zai)于(yu)(yu)，數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)打破了(le)(le)資源流(liu)動(dong)(dong)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)空(kong)(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)(jian)(jian)限制，加速(su)了(le)(le)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)據要(yao)素從(cong)(cong)落后(hou)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)向發(fa)(fa)(fa)達省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)流(liu)動(dong)(dong)，數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)發(fa)(fa)(fa)展呈(cheng)(cheng)(cheng)現(xian)明(ming)顯的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)空(kong)(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)(jian)(jian)異(yi)(yi)質性[5]。圖(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)5（a）和(he)(he)(he)圖(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)5（b）報(bao)(bao)(bao)告了(le)(le)東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)分(fen)(fen)(fen)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)空(kong)(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)(jian)(jian)動(dong)(dong)態(tai)(tai)(tai)(tai)Kernel密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)(du)(du)(du)和(he)(he)(he)密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)(du)(du)(du)等(deng)高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)線(xian)(xian)(xian)。對(dui)(dui)(dui)東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)而言，當(dang)(dang)t年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)與(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)較(jiao)(jiao)低(di)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)相(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)鄰(lin)時(shi)(shi)(shi)，t+3年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)會逐漸(jian)向較(jiao)(jiao)高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)躍遷；而當(dang)(dang)t年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)與(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)較(jiao)(jiao)高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)相(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)鄰(lin)時(shi)(shi)(shi)，t+3年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)仍(reng)集(ji)(ji)(ji)中(zhong)(zhong)在(zai)(zai)(zai)較(jiao)(jiao)低(di)水(shui)(shui)平(ping)(ping)，并(bing)(bing)且存(cun)(cun)(cun)在(zai)(zai)(zai)向下轉(zhuan)變(bian)(bian)(bian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)趨(qu)勢(shi)(shi)。表(biao)明(ming)東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)呈(cheng)(cheng)(cheng)現(xian)高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)低(di)集(ji)(ji)(ji)聚(ju)(ju)態(tai)(tai)(tai)(tai)勢(shi)(shi)，這(zhe)或許(xu)是因(yin)為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)發(fa)(fa)(fa)達省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)憑借(jie)資源稟賦和(he)(he)(he)科(ke)技實力(li)(li)吸(xi)引了(le)(le)相(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)對(dui)(dui)(dui)落后(hou)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)資源[12]，產(chan)生“以鄰(lin)為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)壑(he)”現(xian)象，加劇了(le)(le)東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)低(di)集(ji)(ji)(ji)聚(ju)(ju)態(tai)(tai)(tai)(tai)勢(shi)(shi)。圖(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)6（a）和(he)(he)(he)圖(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)6（b）報(bao)(bao)(bao)告了(le)(le)中(zhong)(zhong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)分(fen)(fen)(fen)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)空(kong)(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)(jian)(jian)動(dong)(dong)態(tai)(tai)(tai)(tai)Kernel密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)(du)(du)(du)和(he)(he)(he)密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)(du)(du)(du)等(deng)高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)線(xian)(xian)(xian)。t年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)相(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)鄰(lin)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)較(jiao)(jiao)低(di)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)，概(gai)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)(du)(du)(du)主體(ti)位于(yu)(yu)45°對(dui)(dui)(dui)角線(xian)(xian)(xian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)上(shang)方(fang)；而t年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)相(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)鄰(lin)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)較(jiao)(jiao)高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)，概(gai)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)(du)(du)(du)主體(ti)位于(yu)(yu)45°對(dui)(dui)(dui)角線(xian)(xian)(xian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)下方(fang)，并(bing)(bing)且在(zai)(zai)(zai)中(zhong)(zhong)心位置(zhi)兩側形成兩個波峰(feng)。說明(ming)當(dang)(dang)t年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)相(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)鄰(lin)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)較(jiao)(jiao)低(di)時(shi)(shi)(shi)，t+3年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)該(gai)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)趨(qu)于(yu)(yu)上(shang)升；而當(dang)(dang)t年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)相(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)鄰(lin)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)較(jiao)(jiao)高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)時(shi)(shi)(shi)，t+3年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)該(gai)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)則趨(qu)于(yu)(yu)下降。但(dan)(dan)中(zhong)(zhong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)(du)(du)(du)等(deng)高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)線(xian)(xian)(xian)與(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)其(qi)(qi)(qi)余區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)相(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)比更向中(zhong)(zhong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)集(ji)(ji)(ji)中(zhong)(zhong)，數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)差(cha)(cha)異(yi)(yi)較(jiao)(jiao)小，呈(cheng)(cheng)(cheng)現(xian)趨(qu)同(tong)態(tai)(tai)(tai)(tai)勢(shi)(shi)。究其(qi)(qi)(qi)原因(yin)，中(zhong)(zhong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)企(qi)業進(jin)(jin)入率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)，企(qi)業活力(li)(li)充足[13]，加深了(le)(le)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)間(jian)(jian)(jian)(jian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)交流(liu)與(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)合作(zuo)，有助于(yu)(yu)實現(xian)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)域(yu)(yu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)協(xie)同(tong)發(fa)(fa)(fa)展。圖(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)7（a）和(he)(he)(he)圖(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)7（b）報(bao)(bao)(bao)告了(le)(le)西(xi)(xi)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)分(fen)(fen)(fen)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)空(kong)(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)(jian)(jian)動(dong)(dong)態(tai)(tai)(tai)(tai)Kernel密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)(du)(du)(du)和(he)(he)(he)密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)(du)(du)(du)等(deng)高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)線(xian)(xian)(xian)。可以看(kan)出，概(gai)率(lv)(lv)(lv)(lv)密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)(du)(du)(du)平(ping)(ping)行(xing)(xing)于(yu)(yu)x軸(zhou)(zhou)(zhou)(zhou)分(fen)(fen)(fen)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)，且距離(li)x軸(zhou)(zhou)(zhou)(zhou)較(jiao)(jiao)近，但(dan)(dan)在(zai)(zai)(zai)距離(li)x軸(zhou)(zhou)(zhou)(zhou)較(jiao)(jiao)遠(yuan)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)地(di)(di)(di)(di)方(fang)存(cun)(cun)(cun)在(zai)(zai)(zai)一(yi)個獨立(li)(li)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)波峰(feng)。說明(ming)t+3年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)時(shi)(shi)(shi)西(xi)(xi)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)多(duo)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)收斂于(yu)(yu)較(jiao)(jiao)低(di)水(shui)(shui)平(ping)(ping)，但(dan)(dan)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)分(fen)(fen)(fen)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)與(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)較(jiao)(jiao)低(di)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)相(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)鄰(lin)時(shi)(shi)(shi)，t+3年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)后(hou)其(qi)(qi)(qi)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)將逐漸(jian)轉(zhuan)為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)較(jiao)(jiao)高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)，說明(ming)西(xi)(xi)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)分(fen)(fen)(fen)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)呈(cheng)(cheng)(cheng)現(xian)極(ji)化(hua)態(tai)(tai)(tai)(tai)勢(shi)(shi)。原因(yin)在(zai)(zai)(zai)于(yu)(yu)，西(xi)(xi)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)分(fen)(fen)(fen)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)發(fa)(fa)(fa)展水(shui)(shui)平(ping)(ping)低(di)，而其(qi)(qi)(qi)他省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)受到(dao)“東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)西(xi)(xi)算”工(gong)程實施與(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)成渝(yu)地(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)國(guo)家樞紐節點建立(li)(li)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)推(tui)動(dong)(dong)，數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)發(fa)(fa)(fa)展水(shui)(shui)平(ping)(ping)快(kuai)速(su)增長，進(jin)(jin)而導致西(xi)(xi)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)呈(cheng)(cheng)(cheng)現(xian)極(ji)化(hua)態(tai)(tai)(tai)(tai)勢(shi)(shi)。圖(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)8（a）和(he)(he)(he)圖(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)(tu)8（b）報(bao)(bao)(bao)告了(le)(le)東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)北地(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)分(fen)(fen)(fen)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)空(kong)(kong)(kong)間(jian)(jian)(jian)(jian)動(dong)(dong)態(tai)(tai)(tai)(tai)Kernel密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)(du)(du)(du)和(he)(he)(he)密(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)(mi)度(du)(du)(du)(du)(du)等(deng)高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)線(xian)(xian)(xian)。東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)北地(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)呈(cheng)(cheng)(cheng)現(xian)差(cha)(cha)別化(hua)分(fen)(fen)(fen)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)，具體(ti)而言，當(dang)(dang)t年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)相(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)鄰(lin)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)較(jiao)(jiao)低(di)時(shi)(shi)(shi)，t+3年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)時(shi)(shi)(shi)一(yi)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)分(fen)(fen)(fen)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)與(yu)(yu)(yu)(yu)相(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)鄰(lin)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)發(fa)(fa)(fa)展具有相(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)似性，另一(yi)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)分(fen)(fen)(fen)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)發(fa)(fa)(fa)展則存(cun)(cun)(cun)在(zai)(zai)(zai)向較(jiao)(jiao)高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)轉(zhuan)變(bian)(bian)(bian)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)趨(qu)勢(shi)(shi)；當(dang)(dang)t年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)相(xiang)(xiang)(xiang)鄰(lin)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)較(jiao)(jiao)高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)時(shi)(shi)(shi)，t+3年(nian)(nian)(nian)(nian)本(ben)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)發(fa)(fa)(fa)展存(cun)(cun)(cun)在(zai)(zai)(zai)低(di)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)集(ji)(ji)(ji)聚(ju)(ju)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)趨(qu)勢(shi)(shi)，表(biao)明(ming)東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)北地(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)(fen)呈(cheng)(cheng)(cheng)現(xian)高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)低(di)差(cha)(cha)別化(hua)穩態(tai)(tai)(tai)(tai)分(fen)(fen)(fen)布(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)。東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)北地(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)遼寧作(zuo)為(wei)(wei)(wei)(wei)對(dui)(dui)(dui)接京津冀協(xie)同(tong)發(fa)(fa)(fa)展戰略的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)先行(xing)(xing)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)，數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)發(fa)(fa)(fa)展累積了(le)(le)一(yi)定的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)先發(fa)(fa)(fa)優(you)勢(shi)(shi)，數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)(ji)規(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)(gui)模(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)(mo)高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)于(yu)(yu)黑龍江和(he)(he)(he)吉(ji)林(lin)，因(yin)此東(dong)(dong)(dong)(dong)部(bu)(bu)(bu)(bu)地(di)(di)(di)(di)區(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)(qu)呈(cheng)(cheng)(cheng)現(xian)高(gao)(gao)(gao)(gao)低(di)差(cha)(cha)別化(hua)態(tai)(tai)(tai)(tai)勢(shi)(shi)。

3結論與啟示

本文在(zai)(zai)(zai)界定數(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)產(chan)業(ye)范(fan)圍的(de)(de)基(ji)礎上，測算了2006—2019年(nian)中國30個省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)的(de)(de)數(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)規(gui)(gui)模，運用Da-gum基(ji)尼系(xi)數(shu)(shu)及(ji)其分解方(fang)法(fa)和空間(jian)(jian)條件Kernel密度估計方(fang)法(fa)考察(cha)中國四大經(jing)濟(ji)區(qu)數(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)規(gui)(gui)模的(de)(de)區(qu)域(yu)(yu)差(cha)(cha)(cha)異(yi)及(ji)空間(jian)(jian)分布(bu)動態(tai)，具(ju)體(ti)(ti)(ti)結論如(ru)下：（1）中國省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)域(yu)(yu)數(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)規(gui)(gui)模持續上升。考察(cha)期內中國省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)域(yu)(yu)數(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)規(gui)(gui)模年(nian)均值為(wei)1165.07億元，占GDP的(de)(de)比重(zhong)為(wei)4.79%，“十三五”時期數(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)規(gui)(gui)模較“十一五”時期增長(chang)明顯(xian)。中國數(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)產(chan)業(ye)以數(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)產(chan)品制造業(ye)與(yu)數(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)技(ji)術應用業(ye)為(wei)主。（2）中國省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)域(yu)(yu)數(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)的(de)(de)區(qu)域(yu)(yu)差(cha)(cha)(cha)異(yi)明顯(xian)。省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)域(yu)(yu)數(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)總(zong)體(ti)(ti)(ti)基(ji)尼系(xi)數(shu)(shu)為(wei)0.5725，區(qu)域(yu)(yu)間(jian)(jian)差(cha)(cha)(cha)異(yi)是總(zong)體(ti)(ti)(ti)差(cha)(cha)(cha)異(yi)的(de)(de)主要(yao)來源。在(zai)(zai)(zai)區(qu)域(yu)(yu)內差(cha)(cha)(cha)異(yi)方(fang)面，東部(bu)和西部(bu)地區(qu)區(qu)域(yu)(yu)內差(cha)(cha)(cha)異(yi)顯(xian)著(zhu)高于中部(bu)和東北(bei)地區(qu)。在(zai)(zai)(zai)區(qu)域(yu)(yu)間(jian)(jian)差(cha)(cha)(cha)異(yi)方(fang)面，2014—2015年(nian)區(qu)域(yu)(yu)間(jian)(jian)差(cha)(cha)(cha)異(yi)略有(you)下降(jiang)，2015年(nian)以后(hou)區(qu)域(yu)(yu)間(jian)(jian)基(ji)尼系(xi)數(shu)(shu)呈(cheng)(cheng)現(xian)(xian)上升態(tai)勢（3）中國省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)域(yu)(yu)數(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)規(gui)(gui)模存在(zai)(zai)(zai)極化(hua)(hua)(hua)現(xian)(xian)象和空間(jian)(jian)效應。東部(bu)地區(qu)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)呈(cheng)(cheng)現(xian)(xian)高低集聚態(tai)勢，中部(bu)地區(qu)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)呈(cheng)(cheng)現(xian)(xian)趨(qu)同態(tai)勢，西部(bu)地區(qu)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)呈(cheng)(cheng)現(xian)(xian)極化(hua)(hua)(hua)態(tai)勢，東北(bei)地區(qu)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)份(fen)則(ze)呈(cheng)(cheng)現(xian)(xian)高低差(cha)(cha)(cha)別化(hua)(hua)(hua)穩態(tai)分布(bu)。上述(shu)研究結論有(you)助(zhu)于正確認識中國省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)域(yu)(yu)數(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)規(gui)(gui)模，同時對消弭省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)際數(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)鴻溝、實現(xian)(xian)省(sheng)(sheng)(sheng)際數(shu)(shu)字(zi)(zi)(zi)(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)協(xie)同發展具(ju)有(you)重(zhong)要(yao)價(jia)值。主要(yao)啟示(shi)如(ru)下：

（1）完善數(shu)字(zi)基礎(chu)設(she)(she)施(shi)建設(she)(she)，縮(suo)(suo)小(xiao)數(shu)字(zi)鴻(hong)溝(gou)(gou)。西(xi)部(bu)地區省份(fen)(fen)與東部(bu)地區省份(fen)(fen)相比，數(shu)字(zi)基礎(chu)設(she)(she)施(shi)較為落后，因此(ci)應(ying)加強(qiang)西(xi)部(bu)地區數(shu)字(zi)經(jing)(jing)濟(ji)欠發達省份(fen)(fen)的(de)5G設(she)(she)施(shi)、數(shu)據中心、人工智能(neng)(neng)等(deng)新(xin)一代數(shu)字(zi)基礎(chu)設(she)(she)施(shi)建設(she)(she)，縮(suo)(suo)小(xiao)省份(fen)(fen)間(jian)的(de)第一道數(shu)字(zi)鴻(hong)溝(gou)(gou)——“接入(ru)溝(gou)(gou)”。同(tong)時，鼓勵先進(jin)技術向落后省份(fen)(fen)轉移，提高西(xi)部(bu)地區省份(fen)(fen)的(de)數(shu)字(zi)創新(xin)能(neng)(neng)力(li)，縮(suo)(suo)小(xiao)省份(fen)(fen)間(jian)的(de)第二道數(shu)字(zi)鴻(hong)溝(gou)(gou)——“使用溝(gou)(gou)”。從而進(jin)一步釋(shi)放西(xi)部(bu)地區數(shu)字(zi)潛(qian)力(li)，為中國數(shu)字(zi)經(jing)(jing)濟(ji)增長注入(ru)新(xin)動能(neng)(neng)。

（2）探(tan)尋區(qu)(qu)(qu)域數字(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)協(xie)調發(fa)(fa)展的長效機(ji)制。現(xian)階段區(qu)(qu)(qu)域間差(cha)異(yi)是數字(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)規(gui)模總體差(cha)異(yi)的主要來(lai)源，因(yin)此(ci)縮小區(qu)(qu)(qu)域間數字(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)發(fa)(fa)展差(cha)異(yi)是區(qu)(qu)(qu)域經(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)協(xie)調發(fa)(fa)展的關鍵。對(dui)于北(bei)京、廣(guang)東、上海(hai)等(deng)數字(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)發(fa)(fa)展較快、對(dui)GDP貢獻(xian)率較高的省份，應(ying)鞏固既有優勢(shi)，發(fa)(fa)揮數字(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)發(fa)(fa)達省份的示范和(he)引(yin)領(ling)作用，實(shi)現(xian)云(yun)計(ji)算、大數據和(he)物聯(lian)網等(deng)重(zhong)點領(ling)域的技術(shu)突破，借助(zhu)數字(zi)(zi)技術(shu)增強數字(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)溢(yi)出效應(ying)，縮小區(qu)(qu)(qu)域間數字(zi)(zi)經(jing)(jing)濟(ji)(ji)規(gui)模差(cha)異(yi)，實(shi)現(xian)協(xie)同發(fa)(fa)展。

（3）正確認(ren)識數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)(ji)發(fa)展(zhan)過程中(zhong)的(de)不(bu)平衡(heng)現象。不(bu)同(tong)(tong)省份在政策紅(hong)利、數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)資源等方(fang)(fang)(fang)面(mian)的(de)差異難免導(dao)致數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)(ji)規(gui)模存在差異。一(yi)方(fang)(fang)(fang)面(mian)，要客觀對(dui)待數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)(ji)規(gui)模存在差異這一(yi)事實，培養數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)(ji)發(fa)展(zhan)的(de)“增長極”，集(ji)中(zhong)力(li)量實現核心產業及核心技(ji)術的(de)突破，提(ti)高中(zhong)國數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)(ji)的(de)總體(ti)規(gui)模；另一(yi)方(fang)(fang)(fang)面(mian)，也(ye)要優化數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)(ji)發(fa)展(zhan)環境，打通數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)資源流動的(de)堵點，發(fa)揮數(shu)(shu)(shu)(shu)字(zi)經(jing)濟(ji)(ji)的(de)空(kong)間(jian)溢出(chu)效(xiao)應，同(tong)(tong)時引導(dao)省份間(jian)合理競爭，杜絕因無(wu)序競爭導(dao)致的(de)資源浪費。

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作(zuo)者:孫亞男 費錦(jin)華 王藝霖(lin) 單位(wei):山(shan)東財經大學 東南大學